About
Andrew M. Stein

I’m a Senior Director of Pharmacometrics at Novartis in Cambridge, MA. I did postdoctoral research at the Institute for Math and its Applications, a PhD in Applied Mathematics at University of Michigan, and a Bachelors and Masters in Mechanical Engineering at MIT.
I use mechanistic and statistical models of preclinical and clinical data to guide drug development. My expertise is in oncology and immunology, with experience in leukemia [1, 2], solid tumors [3, 4, 5, 6], chimeric antigen receptor T-cells [7, 8], T cell engagers, and target mediated drug disposition of biologics [9, 10, 11, 12].
For building understanding, it is useful to imagine that we understand biological systems well enough to write down equations that describe them. But for informing decisions, it is critical to acknowledge that we often do not understand biology well enough to write down equations that make accurate predictions. To support model-informed decision-making in the face of uncertainty, I have co-developed an Uncertainty Pedigree Table (discussed in this presentation) and adapted the FDA’s Context of Use Table.
I am a member of the exploratory graphics (xGx) team. I also have a ukulele webpage.
Recommended Resources
Books
Team of Rivals by Doris Kerns Goodwin. An Abraham Lincoln biography that also follows rivals/allies William Seward, Salmon Chase and Edward Bates. A master class in how to set one’s ego aside and work with a diverse set of talented colleagues.
This is Water (Audiobook) by David Foster Wallace. Graduation speech in 2005 to Kenyon College graduates. Main lesson: we get to choose how we think and while it’s a lot of work, we don’t have to be slaves to our habitual thought patters.
Difficult Conversations by Douglas Stone, Bruce Patton, Sheila Heen. Provides a useful framework for handling challenging conversations.
Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman. Main lesson: there are three dichotomies in how we think.
- Fast (habitual) vs Slow (thoughtful). 99% of what our brain does is automatic and easy and this leads to all kinds of biases.
- Human vs Econ. We’re not really all that rational when it comes to money. In particular, we’re extremely loss-adverse.
- Present vs Remembering Self. When considering what makes us happy, the present moment feelings and what we see when we reflect on our past can view things extremely differently; it’s not clear which “self” should guide us.
Designing your Life by Bill Burnett & Dave Evans. How to apply “design principles” to figure out what you want to get out of life and how to achieve it. Main lesson: you don’t need an end goal in mind. Just start with lots of ideas and do little experiments by changing little things to see if it feels like you’re going in the right direction.
Sapiens by Yuval Harari. A key insight is that what makes human’s special is our ability to tell collective stories and hold collective illusions that can be shared by millions or billions of people. The most powerful story/illusion is the concept of “money” which at this point is just bits in a computer or pieces of paper. But money makes so many large, collective actions possible, both good and evil.
The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver. Guide to why so many prediction models fail.
The Checklist Manifesto by Atul Gawande. How simple questions can help improve efficiency and reduce mistakes in a world of increasing complexity.
How to be an Adult by David Richo. A handbook on psychological and spiritual integration.
The Elephant in the Brain by Robin Hanson and Kevin Simler. Explains the hidden motives from so much of human behavior.
Seven Principles for Making Marriage Work by John Gottman. Lot’s of great insight for working through challenges in marriage, which comes more from a deeply intuitive counselor with over 40 years experience. I feel it’s important to add the caveat that I believe the author greatly overstates his ability to predict divorce — he reports the results of fitting models to data rather than using his models to make prospective and preregistered predictions.
The Wondering Jew by Micah Goodman. Explores the tension between religion and secularism and suggest a path forward toward integration.
Blogs
- Astral Codex Ten by Scott Alexander — long, careful posts on psychiatry, medicine, statistics and forecasting.
- Don’t Worry About the Vase by Zvi Mowshowitz — weekly roundups of what happened in AI and what to make of it.
- Marginal Revolution by Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok — economics blog that covers a broad range of topics.
- Parent Data by Emily Oster — data driven guide to parenting.
Podcasts
- Radiolab — stories rooted in science and philosophy.
- Dear Sugar — empathetic advice.
- Conversations with Tyler — conversations with today’s deepest thinkers.
- The Memory Palace — stories from history.
TED Talks
- The Power of Vulnerability by Brene Brown
- My Stroke of Insight by Jill Bolte Taylor
Technical
- Frank Harrell’s Regression Modeling Strategies course.
Contact
- Email: andy.stein@gmail.com
- Medium Blog: medium.com/@andy.stein
- Google Scholar: citations